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Selon les derniers sondages, le "oui" est largement en tête en Irlande, mais environ un tiers des électeurs se disaient encore indécis avant le scrutin, dont les résultats sont attendus vendredi. Le premier ministre irlandais, le centriste , a fait campagne pour le "oui", qui sera, selon lui, [link widoczny dla zalogowanych] synonyme de "stabilité".
, jeudi 31 mai, par référendum sur le [link widoczny dla zalogowanych] pacte budgétaire européen, un scrutin suivi de près par Bruxelles mais où le "oui" est donné gagnant.
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L'Irlande se [link widoczny dla zalogowanych] trouve dans une situation particulière dans l'UE, puisque l'ancien "Tigre celtique" bénéficie depuis [link widoczny dla zalogowanych] la fin 2010 d'un plan de sauvetage de 85 milliards d'euros que lui ont octroyé l'Union européenne et le Fonds monétaire en contrepartie d'engagements contraignants en matière budgétaire. Un éventuel rejet du pacte européen n'aurait pas immédiatement d'incidence sur ce plan de sauvetage, mais il priverait l'Irlande d'accès au Mécanisme européen de stabilité (MES), destiné à les pays de la zone euro en difficulté financière, qui entrera en vigueur en juillet.
EXERCICE RISQU?
L' est [link widoczny dla zalogowanych] jusqu'à présent le seul pays [link widoczny dla zalogowanych] de l' à [link widoczny dla zalogowanych] à référendum ce traité qui vise à la discipline au sein de l'Union à la suite [link widoczny dla zalogowanych] de la [link widoczny dla zalogowanych] crise de la [link widoczny dla zalogowanych] dette. Le pacte, approuvé par les dirigeants de tous les pays de l'UE, sauf [link widoczny dla zalogowanych] le et la , prévoit de des "règles d'or" sur l'équilibre des comptes, sous peine de sanctions.
A l'inverse, , leader [link widoczny dla zalogowanych] du , parti nationaliste de gauche, a estimé que le pacte signifierait encore plus d'austérité. "Nous savons que l'austérité ne fonctionne pas, et c'est ce que de plus en plus de gens disent en ", a-t-il répété à la veille du scrutin.