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Lord Cienia
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Wysłany: Pią 0:03, 30 Sie 2013 Temat postu: Kroger and Bare Escentuals-spun5 |
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Kroger and Bare Escentuals,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych]
There nothing related between Kroger (KR) and Bare Escentuals (BARE),[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], just going to mention one of the companies,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], Bare Escentuals,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], we highlighted in a previous article on December 15,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], 2009 is going to be acquired by Shiseido. Shiseido is Japan largest cosmetic company and announced their plan to acquire Bare Escentuals on January 14,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], 2010,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], almost exactly one month after the large spike in call option volume occurred which we highlighted in the article. companies are valued at quite a discount from what they were a few years ago.
Grocery retailer Kroger popped up on the stock option volume radar on Friday. In Kroger case,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], we don foresee an acquisition of Kroger by a foreign company or by any other company for that matter. However, and stock option volume don often collide in the same sentence,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], so something is up.
Maybe investors are looking at defensive stocks,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], but no other grocery retailers appeared on the high stock options volume radar on Friday.
Kroger trailing twelve month [ttm] P/E of 86 is way out of kilter for a grocery retailer. For example Costco (COST) ttm P/E is currently at 23. Based on this, Kroger stock price should be around $6 instead of its current price of $21.77.
The performance of Kroger stock price over the last couple of years has been dismal,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych].
The stock option for Kroger experiencing the highest volume on Friday was the out-of-the-money April 22.50 call option,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], which has a bullish flavor.
With Kroger high P/E,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], a collar might be in order for Kroger,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], a covered call protected by a put option. A collar for July looks attractive with a %if unchanged potential return of 3.3% and a %if assigned potential return of 6.8%. The call option of interest to short would be the July 22.5 and the put option to purchase would be the July 17.5. The maximum potential risk for this position is about 17%.
The profit and loss chart for one contract of this collar position is shown below:
To enter the collar position an investor would purchase the stocks in multiples of 100 shares for their trading portfolio and sell one call option and purchase on put option for each 100 shares of stock purchased for their personal stock portfolio,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych].
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